Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.665855 0.787391 0.919436 1.072895 1.245650 1.433435 1.652292
2025-04-27 0.466704 0.631977 0.830080 1.081700 1.389242 1.749310 2.198895
2025-05-04 0.332237 0.512779 0.750048 1.076252 1.503902 2.035963 2.737451
2025-05-11 0.236089 0.414690 0.671062 1.050064 1.578561 2.270982 3.225888
2025-05-18 0.178301 0.353675 0.626533 1.056374 1.687866 2.551120 3.785324
2025-05-25 0.130024 0.292901 0.567920 1.028913 1.740453 2.751996 4.246111
2025-06-01 0.101613 0.257402 0.540450 1.041033 1.846375 3.028669 4.821472
2025-06-08 0.077611 0.222396 0.505864 1.034410 1.919281 3.258268 5.338753
2025-06-15 0.065978 0.209393 0.507605 1.087103 2.087254 3.635510 6.085014
2025-06-22 0.054165 0.191905 0.497004 1.115459 2.215883 3.958056 6.763419
2025-06-29 0.040849 0.165416 0.462649 1.094949 2.259050 4.148222 7.249337
2025-07-06 0.033207 0.151203 0.451147 1.115167 2.371895 4.452063 7.918916
2025-07-13 0.025915 0.135128 0.433113 1.122062 2.465010 4.734653 8.577696
2025-07-20 0.020092 0.120864 0.416362 1.129530 2.560039 5.026319 9.265504
2025-07-27 0.015009 0.106041 0.394609 1.123174 2.628286 5.276278 9.897154
2025-08-03 0.010539 0.090073 0.365412 1.095787 2.653138 5.452413 10.415345
2025-08-10 0.007956 0.080662 0.352073 1.102174 2.743325 5.744510 11.133045
2025-08-17 0.005388 0.068243 0.325840 1.073727 2.760482 5.907573 11.641041
2025-08-24 0.004058 0.061886 0.317003 1.086231 2.861259 6.222884 12.413482
2025-08-31 0.002839 0.054302 0.301528 1.079372 2.920323 6.464321 13.067643
2025-09-07 0.002421 0.053134 0.309045 1.133830 3.113654 6.959647 14.171957
2025-09-14 0.001886 0.049793 0.307359 1.163128 3.253948 7.361488 15.125847
2025-09-21 0.001204 0.042752 0.288427 1.141935 3.281143 7.551908 15.716750